Title: SC COS Survey Report
Original CoS Document (slug): sc-cos-survey-report
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Attached File: COS_SC_Survey_Report_1-1-18.pdf
Created: 2018-04-28 21:28:28
Updated: 2019-04-28 23:00:08
Published: 2018-04-28 20:00:00
Converted: 2025-04-14T19:30:48.515276340
South Carolina Convention of States Survey
Conducted 11/29/17-12/30/17
2,223 Respondents
Likely 2018 General Election Voters
Margin of Error: +/- 2.10
Response Rate: 3.71%
Confidence: 95%
Response Distribution: 50%
Overall Survey
SC Governor Among GOP Primary Voters
11.05%
39.92%
3.01%
7.92%
10.14%
27.88%
Kevin Bryant
Henry McMaster
Yancey McGill
Catherine Templeton
Someone Else
Undecided
SC Governor Among DEM Primary Voters
25.47%
20.38%
20.61%
33.54%
Phil Noble
James Smith
Someone Else
Undecided
Q2: How do you feel about the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
A. Approve
B. Strongly approve
C. Disapprove
D. Strongly disapprove
E. I have no opinion.
Trump Approval
27.10%
26.26%
6.82%
35.43%
4.39%
Approve
Strongly Approve
Disapprove
Strongly Disapprove
No Opinion
Trump Approval Among GOP Primary Voters
Trump Approval Among DEM Primary Voters
37.90%
38.85%
3.90%
15.23%
4.12%
Approve
Strongly Approve
Disapprove
Strongly Disapprove
No Opinion
8.56%
3.07%
12.30%
71.04%
5.03%
Approve
Strongly Approve
Disapprove
Strongly Disapprove
No Opinion
Q3: What best describes your opinion of the way Congress is handling its business?
A. Approve
B. Strongly approve
C. Disapprove
D. Strongly disapprove
E. I have no opinion.
Congress Approval
10.14%
4.32%
34.75%
44.84%
5.93%
Approve
Strongly Approve
Disapprove
Strongly
Disapprove
No Opinion
Q4: What best describes your opinion of whether South Carolina should join
other states in calling for a convention to propose constitutional amendments
that limit federal power?
A. Favor
B. Strongly Favor
C. Oppose
D. Strongly Oppose
E. Undecided
Convention of States Initial Opinion
25.57%
18.61%
12.23%
11.88%
31.61%
Favor
Strongly Favor
Oppose
Strongly Oppose
Undecided
Q5: What best describes your opinion of a constitutional amendment to
limit federal spending?
A. Favor
B. Strongly Favor
C. Oppose
D. Strongly Oppose
E. Undecided
Amendment to Limit Federal Spending
27.92%
26.02%
9.96%
10.08%
26.00%
Favor
Strongly Favor
Oppose
Strongly Oppose
Undecided
Q6: What best describes your opinion of placing term limits on members of
Congress and/or federal judges?
A. Favor
B. Strongly Favor
C. Oppose
D. Strongly Oppose
E. Undecided
Term Limits
29.62%
47.52%
6.42%
4.33%
12.01%
Favor
Strongly Favor
Oppose
Strongly Oppose
Undecided
Q7: What best describes your opinion of South Carolina calling for a convention
convention of states to propose constitutional amendments that limit federal
spending, limit federal power, and establish term limits for members of congress
and/or federal judges?
A. Favor
B. Strongly Favor
C. Oppose
D. Strongly Oppose
E. Undecided
Convention of States
31.36%
33.38%
9.52%
9.78%
15.92%
Favor
Strongly Favor
Oppose
Strongly Oppose
Undecided
Self-Identified Ideology
Age Ranges
(Weighted to Match Projected South Carolina Election Participation)
10.17%
10.56%
7.54%
11.67%
31.34%
6.27%
1.50%
12.67%
7.90%
Moderate Democrat
Progressive Democrat
Liberal Democrat
Moderate Republican
Conservative Republican
Tea Party Republican
Libertarian
Independent
Unsure
3.84%
9.22%
12.75%
19.19%
14.96%
40.04%
18-25
26-35
36-45
46-55
56-61
62+
Gender
(Weighted to Match Projected South Carolina Election Participation)
Race/Ethnicity
(Weighted to Match Projected South Carolina Election Participation)
45.23%
54.77%
Male
Female
20.36%
68.25%
1.43%
0.99%
8.98%
Black
White
Latino
Asian
Other/
Unknown
Regions
(Weighted to Match Projected South Carolina Election Participation)
Methodology
Likely voters were selected at random from a list of registered voters based on specific election
participation and registration date. Household ages and locations were extracted as well from this
list. In excess of 80,000 households were contacted over the duration of the poll. Automated calls
were used to contact a majority of participants, while live and online surveys were used to enrich
the voter sample.
A mixture of automated voice response technology, live, and online interviews are used in order to
identify and compensate for possible social desirability bias. Calls are placed to randomly-selected
phone numbers through a stratified process that insures approrpiate geographic representation.
These calls were placed from 6:00pm to 8:30pm local time from Wednesday, November 29th
though Saturday, December 30th.
For more information, please contact info@trf-grp.com.
Survey results undergo a weighting process to ensure the sample is comparable to the
demographic breakdown of expected 2018 South Carolina general election participants. Final
results are based on these weights in order to address non-response bias.
31.01%
27.98%
18.01%
23.00%
Upstate
Midlands
Pee Dee
Low Country
18-25
26-35
36-45
46-55
56-61
62+
Kevin
Bryant
Henry
McMaster
Yancey
McGill
Catherine
Templeton
Phil Noble
James
Smith
Someone
Else
Undecided
Male
Female
Upstate
Midlands Pee Dee
Low
Country
Kevin
Bryant
0.00% 8.80% 8.85% 10.05%
6.06% 7.53% 100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
7.86% 7.73% 9.61% 6.98% 7.30% 6.70%
Henry
McMaster
6.03% 14.29% 24.27% 31.11% 28.33% 31.42%
0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
29.83% 25.46% 31.65% 28.65% 24.25% 22.75%
Yancey
McGill
9.83% 3.01% 2.90% 2.45% 4.06% 3.51%
0%
0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2.94% 3.98% 2.52% 3.39% 6.38% 2.73%
Catherine
Templeton 29.22%
2.57% 2.76% 5.08% 7.39% 5.42%
0%
0%
0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
6.92% 5.17% 6.51% 7.96% 5.25% 3.36%
Phil Noble
8.36% 16.33% 11.77% 12.35% 8.78% 11.33%
0%
0%
0%
0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
11.18% 11.85% 8.70% 10.80% 14.04% 14.34%
James
Smith
8.36% 15.80% 8.95% 5.83% 7.02% 10.99%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
100%
0%
0%
8.15% 10.59% 8.37% 9.15% 8.26% 12.36%
Someone
Else
0.00% 5.53% 2.35% 4.29% 5.42% 3.55%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
100%
0%
3.21% 4.41% 3.54% 4.51% 3.23% 4.01%
Undecided 38.20% 33.68% 38.13% 28.85% 32.94% 26.13%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
100% 29.81% 30.81% 29.10% 28.56% 31.29% 33.52%
18-25
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0.00% 0.85% 10.77% 18.83% 2.78% 3.39% 0.00% 4.83% 3.86% 3.83% 5.66% 2.94% 7.02% 0.00%
26-35
0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
10.42%
4.80% 7.92% 3.97% 13.04% 15.36% 13.18% 10.23% 10.10% 8.49% 8.59% 11.23% 11.25% 6.04%
36-45
0%
0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
14.49% 11.28% 10.54%
5.91% 13.00% 12.03% 7.76% 16.01% 13.73% 11.93% 11.54% 15.17% 13.11% 11.15%
46-55
0%
0%
0%
100%
0%
0%
24.75% 21.76% 13.38% 16.34% 20.52% 11.78% 21.30% 18.23% 18.75% 19.55% 20.55% 18.90% 16.36% 19.91%
56-61
0%
0%
0%
0%
100%
0%
11.65% 15.45% 17.34% 18.54% 11.38% 11.07% 20.98% 16.24% 13.93% 15.82% 13.19% 13.97% 16.87% 17.07%
62+
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
100% 38.69% 45.86% 40.05% 36.41% 39.29% 46.38% 36.78% 34.46% 39.63% 40.38% 40.46% 37.80% 35.38% 45.83%
Male
45.39% 49.55% 48.73% 44.20% 42.11% 44.77% 45.63% 49.18% 37.89% 52.47% 43.80% 38.87% 37.53% 44.41% 100%
0%
50.58% 43.76% 39.13% 44.59%
Female
54.61% 50.45% 51.27% 55.80% 57.89% 55.23% 54.37% 50.82% 62.11% 47.53% 56.20% 61.13% 62.47% 55.59%
0%
100% 49.42% 56.24% 60.87% 55.41%
Upstate
45.71% 28.89% 28.08% 33.22% 27.35% 31.34% 38.25% 35.78% 22.26% 33.85% 23.37% 27.36% 28.43% 29.73% 34.68% 27.98% 100%
0%
0%
0%
Midlands
21.39% 34.06% 33.28% 27.56% 26.11% 26.42% 25.06% 29.22% 27.07% 37.35% 26.16% 26.99% 32.63% 26.32% 27.07% 28.73%
0%
100%
0%
0%
Pee Dee
32.90% 21.98% 18.53% 15.36% 20.31% 15.92% 16.89% 15.92% 32.75% 15.84% 21.91% 15.67% 15.06% 18.56% 15.58% 20.02%
0%
0%
100%
0%
Low
Country
0.00% 15.06% 20.11% 23.87% 26.23% 26.32% 19.80% 19.08% 17.92% 12.96% 28.56% 29.97% 23.88% 25.39% 22.67% 23.27%
0%
0%
0%
100%
South Carolina Convention of States Survey Report Crosstabs
APPENDIX CROSSTABS OVERALL & BALLOT TEST
18-25
26-35
36-45
46-55
56-61
62+
Republican Democrat
Male
Female
Upstate
Midlands
Pee Dee
Low
Country
Approve
23.24% 18.37% 24.49% 29.72% 24.04% 30.20% 37.17% 8.93% 27.44% 26.82% 28.17% 28.05% 26.71% 24.81%
Strongly
Approve
15.36% 21.10% 21.76% 31.69% 30.31% 25.81% 39.08% 3.13% 27.20% 25.48% 27.74% 26.66% 25.62% 24.26%
Disapprove
19.59% 3.98% 4.23% 4.80% 7.99% 7.61% 4.06% 11.81% 7.55% 6.22% 7.10% 6.74% 7.36% 6.12%
Strongly
Disapprove
41.81% 51.91% 41.83% 31.58% 32.90% 31.77% 15.66% 71.10% 33.44% 37.07% 31.13% 34.35% 36.18% 41.94%
No Opinion
0.00% 4.63% 7.69% 2.21% 4.74% 4.62% 4.03% 5.04% 4.36% 4.42% 5.85% 4.20% 4.12% 2.87%
Q2: How do you feel about the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
A. Approve
B. Strongly approve
C. Disapprove
D. Strongly disapprove
E. I have no opinion.
APPENDIX CROSSTABS TRUMP APPROVAL
18-25
26-35
36-45
46-55
56-61
62+
Republican Democrat
Male
Female
Upstate
Midlands
Pee Dee
Low
Country
Approve
0.00% 11.08% 11.20% 12.01% 7.35% 10.70% 13.79% 3.55% 10.38% 9.93% 10.91% 9.48% 12.84% 7.77%
Strongly
Approve
6.03% 3.02% 2.23% 1.98% 4.17% 6.29% 4.98% 3.12% 4.65% 4.04% 3.59% 6.20% 2.43% 4.49%
Disapprove
13.11% 41.84% 31.10% 34.84% 38.97% 34.73% 38.20% 28.51% 36.45% 33.34% 38.02% 35.62% 34.21% 29.69%
Strongly
Disapprove
80.86% 39.77% 43.46% 48.81% 43.38% 41.62% 36.74% 59.45% 42.41% 46.84% 40.67% 44.08% 44.68% 51.49%
No Opinion
0.00% 4.29% 12.00% 2.37% 6.13% 6.57% 6.24% 5.37% 6.11% 5.78% 6.81% 4.61% 5.64% 6.56%
Q3: What best describes your opinion of the way Congress is handling its business?
A. Approve
B. Strongly approve
C. Disapprove
D. Strongly disapprove
E. I have no opinion.
APPENDIX CROSSTABS CONGRESS APPROVAL
18-25
26-35
36-45
46-55
56-61
62+
Republican Democrat
Male
Female
Upstate
Midlands
Pee Dee
Low
Country
Favor
9.83% 26.12% 28.89% 28.81% 21.04% 26.03% 30.67% 16.36% 26.18% 25.06% 27.73% 26.83% 26.27% 20.56%
Strongly Favor
27.12% 13.17% 15.61% 25.72% 23.32% 14.84% 23.37% 10.02% 19.30% 18.04% 16.80% 20.82% 18.15% 18.73%
Oppose
0.00% 20.61% 9.38% 10.40% 14.70% 12.34% 11.64% 13.31% 12.10% 12.34% 12.33% 10.82% 12.55% 13.57%
Strongly Oppose 12.39% 8.84% 18.63% 11.59% 13.75% 9.83% 6.67% 21.29% 13.72% 10.36% 13.08% 11.28% 7.89% 14.12%
Undecided
50.65% 31.26% 27.48% 23.48% 27.19% 36.73% 27.50% 39.03% 28.61% 34.10% 30.06% 30.24% 34.93% 32.78%
Q4: What best describes your opinion of whether South Carolina should join
other states in calling for a convention to propose constitutional amendments
that limit federal power?
A. Favor
B. Strongly Favor
C. Oppose
D. Strongly Oppose
E. Undecided
APPENDIX CROSSTABS CONVENTION OF STATES INITIAL OPINION
18-25
26-35
36-45
46-55
56-61
62+
Republican Democrat
Male
Female
Upstate
Midlands
Pee Dee
Low
Country
Favor
37.95% 24.74% 28.71% 30.27% 27.06% 26.63% 33.47% 17.91% 29.21% 26.86% 29.40% 28.08% 27.98% 25.70%
Strongly Favor
36.96% 28.00% 25.21% 31.60% 26.44% 21.94% 31.84% 15.50% 27.42% 24.86% 27.55% 26.26% 25.23% 24.26%
Oppose
6.35% 13.71% 7.32% 10.75% 10.76% 9.61% 6.73% 15.79% 10.09% 9.86% 10.82% 9.68% 9.86% 9.22%
Strongly Oppose 12.39% 10.52% 14.49% 8.87% 12.05% 8.19% 5.07% 19.11% 11.22% 9.14% 9.73% 8.91% 7.87% 13.70%
Undecided
6.35% 23.02% 24.26% 18.52% 23.69% 33.57% 22.85% 31.69% 22.02% 29.28% 22.50% 27.07% 28.93% 27.12%
Q5: What best describes your opinion of a constitutional amendment to
limit federal spending?
A. Favor
B. Strongly Favor
C. Oppose
D. Strongly Oppose
E. Undecided
APPENDIX CROSSTABS AMENDMENT TO LIMIT FEDERAL SPENDING
18-25
26-35
36-45
46-55
56-61
62+
Republican Democrat
Male
Female
Upstate
Midlands
Pee Dee
Low
Country
Favor
27.59% 20.99% 29.44% 31.49% 30.81% 30.53% 31.55% 26.15% 30.66% 28.77% 37.94% 28.98% 21.76% 25.36%
Strongly Favor
53.67% 55.46% 46.91% 50.24% 49.59% 43.23% 52.15% 39.17% 45.95% 48.82% 42.01% 50.91% 52.14% 47.23%
Oppose
0.00% 10.80% 6.95% 4.46% 5.28% 7.22% 5.61% 7.88% 7.79% 5.29% 5.36% 6.08% 7.36% 7.53%
Strongly Oppose
0.00% 3.67% 5.47% 4.25% 4.35% 4.58% 1.90% 8.73% 4.07% 4.55% 3.68% 4.82% 2.95% 5.71%
Undecided
18.74% 9.08% 11.23% 9.57% 9.97% 14.21% 8.65% 18.07% 11.43% 12.48% 10.87% 9.13% 15.66% 14.17%
Q6: What best describes your opinion of placing term limits on members of
Congress and/or federal judges?
A. Favor
B. Strongly Favor
C. Oppose
D. Strongly Oppose
E. Undecided
APPENDIX CROSSTABS TERM LIMITS
18-25
26-35
36-45
46-55
56-61
62+
Republican Democrat
Male
Female
Upstate
Midlands
Pee Dee
Low
Country
Favor
27.59% 30.52% 30.07% 31.76% 25.70% 34.24% 34.55% 25.60% 31.48% 31.25% 36.15% 31.86% 23.56% 30.39%
Strongly Favor
53.67% 28.19% 33.90% 35.54% 38.47% 29.52% 38.48% 24.16% 33.22% 33.50% 29.74% 35.26% 40.44% 30.46%
Oppose
0.00% 17.65% 6.49% 10.31% 9.57% 9.14% 7.93% 12.40% 10.42% 8.78% 8.85% 8.77% 11.89% 9.49%
Strongly Oppose 12.39% 8.81% 14.61% 9.15% 9.64% 8.58% 5.93% 16.73% 10.54% 9.16% 10.31% 10.16% 7.01% 10.78%
Undecided
6.35% 14.82% 14.93% 13.25% 16.61% 18.42% 13.05% 21.10% 14.24% 17.30% 14.95% 13.88% 16.97% 18.89%
Q7: What best describes your opinion of South Carolina calling for a convention
convention of states to propose constitutional amendments that limit federal
spending, limit federal power, and establish term limits for members of congress
and/or federal judges?
A. Favor
B. Strongly Favor
C. Oppose
D. Strongly Oppose
E. Undecided
APPENDIX CROSSTABS CONVENTION OF STATES